In the United States there is a sustained mass death event underway.
Up-to-date figures paint a grim picture of overall all-cause mortality in the US over the past two and a half years:
The United States reported 3,353,787 deaths for the 52 weeks of 2020 (all years of age). Expected deaths were 2,920,345. That is an increase of +433,442 deaths (+14.8%).
The United States reported 3,457,517 deaths for the 52 weeks of 2021 (all years of age). Expected deaths were 2,947,287. That is an increase of +510,230 deaths (+17.3%).
Year-to-date figures for 2022 reported 2,542,386 deaths for the 41 weeks through mid-October (all years of age). Expected deaths were 2,338,304. That is an increase of +204,082 deaths (+8.7%) to date.
To be clear, high single-digit or double-digit variability in excess deaths is extraordinary on a one-year basis, let alone for three consecutive years. As we move towards 2023 there are no signs that this accelerated death march is abating.
(It is worth noting that most western nations are also experiencing elevated and prolonged excess deaths in 2022.)
To gain an understanding of the dimensions of this catastrophe, we use a comparison from the yearly US all-cause mortality figures from the preceding 5 years.
2015= The United States reported 2,714,702 deaths. Expected deaths were 2,712,630. This indicated a total “excess” of -2,072, a nominal variation from expected totals.
2016= The US reported 2,744,248 deaths. Expected deaths were 2,761,7373. This represented -17,489 total “excess.” From 2015 to 2016, the age-adjusted death rate for the total US population decreased by 0.6%.
2017= The US reported 2,813,503 deaths. Expected deaths were 2,795,818. This represented +17,687 total excess, an increase of 0.4% from the 2016 rate.
2018= The US reported 2,839,205 deaths. Expected deaths were 2,831,753. This represented +7,452 total excess. While an increase in the “expected deaths for the year, this figure represented a decrease of 1.1% from the 2017 rate.
2019= The US reported 2,854,838 deaths. Expected deaths were 2,870532. This represented -15,694 total excess, a decrease of 1.2% from 2018.
While there are debates surrounding the various definitions of “excess” and “expected” deaths, and the calculations used for yearly comparisons, the enormous increases observed in 2020-2022 render those discussions inconsequential for the purposes of this paper.
Looking at our 5 year baseline, 2017 had the highest all-cause mortality for any of these years, with +17,489 excess deaths. We can employ this number to illustrate the magnitude of the current state of affairs.
In 2021, there were multiple weeks where the excess mortality for that one week was near to or greater than the entire yearly total of excess deaths for 2017. For example, Week 1 of 2021 had +23,126 excess deaths, Week 2 had +23,097 excess deaths, Week 35 had +20,361 excess deaths and Week 36 had +20,355 excess deaths. 2021 was replete with weeks of 5 figure excess death totals.
To get an idea of the colossal dimensions of the current situation consider that in the 5 year period from 2015 to 2019 there was not a single week of 5 digit mortality excess. In 2020/2021 combined there were 50 such examples. The first 6 weeks of 2022 also had 5 figure excess all-cause mortality totals.
Every single week in 2020/2021 the US had a positive rate of mortality excess off the 5-year baseline except the first 9 weeks of 2020. Weeks 10 and 11 of 2020 had negligible increase. Not until around Week 14 do we begin to see significant excess and only in specific locales.
The corresponding increase in excess corresponds precisely with the March 11, 2020 WHO “pandemic” declaration. Leading into that declaration there was nothing notable in the world or in the data that would have caused one concern based on direct observational experience.
Once the mortality increase got rolling in Week 14 there were 104 straight weeks of excess all-cause mortality through 2020/2021/2022 (temporarily interrupted by Weeks 12-16 of 2022), with the first 10 weeks of 2022 showing extremely high all-cause excess.
Since Week 16 of 2022, the increased excess mortality has kicked in again every week up to Week 41, the most current week of up-to-date data.
The chronology and claims of mass death that has characterized the “official” pandemic narrative of the past two and a half years does not conform with all we know of epidemiological history.
Many peculiarities call into question the explanation of ‘viral pandemic’ as the sole source for this death toll.
In his study titled, COVID-Period Mass Vaccination Campaign and Public Health Disaster in the USA From age/state-resolved all-cause mortality by time, age-resolved vaccine delivery by time, and socio-geo-economic data (see below), Canadian researcher Denis Rancourt noted multiple incongruities within the pandemic construct.
- Throughout the covid period, all-cause mortality is heterogeneous by state and anomalous in its time (by week, by month) and seasonal variations, compared to historical behavior;1
- The anomalies include winter and summer peaks, which are highly variable in magnitude from year to year in the covid period and from state to state;
- The broad “summer peaks” of all-cause mortality by time in 2020 and 2021 are of a nature that has not previously been observed in mortality data for the USA or any country, historically, since quality data has been available for more than 100 years;
- Unlike for viral respiratory diseases, including the presumed SARS-CoV-2 virus itself, the covid-period excess mortality risk by age group is not predominantly confined to the elderly population. On the contrary, overall for the covid period, mortality risk is broadly distributed to all age groups and is significantly larger for younger adults compared to the eldest adults;1
- The observed age-group distribution of all-cause mortality risk constitutes proof that the covid-period excess mortality cannot predominantly be due to the presumed SARS-CoV-2 virus or to any viral respiratory disease. The alternative would be to abandon the accepted body of research on mortality risk by age;
- Large structural changes in the living and care conditions of residents of the USA — directly enacted by state and institutional players (including employers) during the covid period and including secondary consequences of the said directly enacted changes — are causally associated with the large and sustained excess mortality in the covid period;
- We infer from correlations with socio-economic factors that severe harm and death were induced by the aforementioned covid-period changes in particular classes of residents, such as isolated, sick, disabled, dependent, obese, poor, seriously mentally ill or elderly individuals.
With so many unanswered questions, how is it that such an ongoing deluge of excess deaths, which extends well beyond the peak period of the 2020 has elicited no more than roaring silence from the mainstream media and the entirety of the political class? An event of this gravity demands an immediate Congressional investigation, including a forensic examination of the deaths, which is transparent, comprehensive, and forthright.
In an upcoming article, we will be taking a deeper dive into the various reasons for this mass death event which call into question the credibility of the “official” explanations being offered.
Mortality Monitoring for the United States of America:
COVID-Period Mass Vaccination Campaign and Public Health Disaster in the USA From age/state-resolved all-cause mortality by time, age-resolved vaccine delivery by time, and socio-geo-economic data: